Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.790508e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000089
2025-02-09 2.923220e-05 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000088 0.000107
2025-02-16 2.550167e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000063 0.000081 0.000103 0.000129
2025-02-23 2.109802e-05 0.000032 0.000045 0.000062 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143
2025-03-02 1.679394e-05 0.000027 0.000041 0.000059 0.000083 0.000113 0.000152
2025-03-09 1.381397e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000058 0.000084 0.000118 0.000162
2025-03-16 1.150179e-05 0.000021 0.000036 0.000056 0.000085 0.000122 0.000172
2025-03-23 9.798217e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000056 0.000087 0.000127 0.000183
2025-03-30 8.302833e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000055 0.000088 0.000132 0.000193
2025-04-06 6.805675e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000053 0.000088 0.000134 0.000200
2025-04-13 5.277693e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000050 0.000085 0.000133 0.000203
2025-04-20 4.271085e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000048 0.000084 0.000135 0.000209
2025-04-27 3.744965e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000089 0.000145 0.000227
2025-05-04 3.059960e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000091 0.000151 0.000241
2025-05-11 2.865358e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000052 0.000098 0.000165 0.000265
2025-05-18 2.326180e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000100 0.000171 0.000279
2025-05-25 1.706751e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000049 0.000098 0.000171 0.000285
2025-06-01 1.296607e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000048 0.000098 0.000174 0.000294
2025-06-08 9.872282e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000047 0.000098 0.000178 0.000305
2025-06-15 7.717861e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000047 0.000099 0.000183 0.000317
2025-06-22 5.877289e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000046 0.000100 0.000188 0.000329
2025-06-29 4.107880e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000099 0.000189 0.000336
2025-07-06 2.480173e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000041 0.000096 0.000187 0.000337